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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 13:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.8K−$3.5K$6.3K
Holders154+7678
Trades897+317580
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.7%
−31.1 pp
70.8%
Avg ROI6.6%
+5.7 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.13
−0.71×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−0.13×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$110
−$1.3K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.22
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.2%
+0.1 pp
19.0%
Underwater %35.9%
+35.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.1%
−50.5 pp
80.6%
Bot %30.7%
−52.1 pp
82.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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