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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 6?

data as of 2026-07-05 02:06 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
27¢
NO
73¢
YES
27¢
YesY-NNo
Position$39−$93$132
Holders5−27
Trades17+116
NO
73¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.1%
−3.6 pp
64.7%
Avg ROI21.3%
+16.1 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−0.14×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−0.25×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$45
$70
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.07
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.8%
+28.2 pp
-6.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.3 pp
95.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−0.8 pp
0.8%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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