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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET

data as of 2026-06-05 17:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K−$14K$16K
Holders73−578
Trades823+113710
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
−5.6 pp
58.6%
Avg ROI4.6%
+4.4 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.98
+9.20×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.72
+10.96×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$68
−$813
$881
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.16
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−126.6 pp
34.7%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.6%
+0.5 pp
72.2%
Bot %73.0%
−3.7 pp
76.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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