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Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16?

data as of 2025-05-14 17:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$55K$56K
Holders190−223413
Trades3.3K+9122.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.0%
−40.1 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI-15.1%
−18.3 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.44
+0.45×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.62
+0.63×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$480
$489
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.03
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-40.6%
−41.6 pp
1.0%
Underwater %92.7%
+91.6 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.9%
−21.9 pp
42.8%
Bot %20.8%
−22.0 pp
42.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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