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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

data as of 2026-06-04 08:25 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K−$13K$48K
Holders451−36487
Trades3.7K−1553.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−18.9 pp
66.3%
Avg ROI2.8%
+1.3 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.19
−41.29×
×41.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.19
−43.17×
×43.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.5K
−$35.2K
$45.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL305.5%
+402.9 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.2%
+14.6 pp
34.7%
Bot %64.1%
+15.5 pp
48.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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