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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1PM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 17:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.9K−$1.8K$3.7K
Holders45−449
Trades557+83474
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−1.0 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI-3.6%
−6.0 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.65
+1.93×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.45
+1.71×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$221
−$556
$777
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-59.4%
−98.4 pp
39.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.6%
−17.7 pp
52.4%
Bot %47.1%
−25.5 pp
72.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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