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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2025-11-01 07:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$4.7K$20K
Holders119+3386
Trades488−55543
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−0.3 pp
45.7%
Avg ROI0.9%
+4.4 pp
-3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×49.88
+49.37×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$318
+$353
−$35
Recent buyer dominance0.79
+0.30
0.49
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−193.9 pp
95.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.0%
+6.1 pp
64.0%
Bot %4.8%
+0.8 pp
4.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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