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Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 3?

data as of 2026-05-03 02:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$223−$8.1K$8.4K
Holders87+2760
Trades334+34300
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−50.2 pp
87.5%
Avg ROI16.8%
+16.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.99
+5.99×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.46
+18.47×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.0K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.37
0.63
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.7%
−98.8 pp
2.1%
Underwater %95.4%
+94.1 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.0%
+13.2 pp
2.8%
Bot %19.9%
+17.1 pp
2.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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