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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1AM ET

data as of 2026-01-08 06:32 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$16K$40K
Holders381+28893
Trades2.2K+2711.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
−8.5 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI-3.0%
−7.1 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.00
+24.48×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.37
+20.76×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$88
−$662
$749
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.12
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.1%
−157.0 pp
61.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.7%
−11.1 pp
30.8%
Bot %19.2%
−11.1 pp
30.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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