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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 02:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$7.5K$4.7K
Holders204+38166
Trades1.4K+411.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.3%
+11.0 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI3.4%
+2.3 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×665.09
+664.82×
×0.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×677.87
+677.66×
×0.21
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.7K
+$7.2K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.8%
−396.7 pp
296.9%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.3%
−16.8 pp
47.1%
Bot %40.5%
−16.1 pp
56.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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