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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 02:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$146K+$138K$7.5K
Holders526+122404
Trades4.3K+3764.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.0%
+33.7 pp
42.3%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−1.3 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.01
−8.99×
×10.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
−6.97×
×7.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$109.0K
+$102.1K
$7.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.6%
+97.4 pp
-92.7%
Underwater %51.9%
−35.5 pp
87.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.1%
−15.1 pp
73.1%
Bot %58.3%
−1.7 pp
59.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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