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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-01-21 01:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$20K$11K
Holders107−20127
Trades2.4K−1932.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
+11.7 pp
42.0%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−5.8 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−28.35×
×29.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−24.57×
×25.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$135
+$6
$128
Recent buyer dominance0.52
−0.29
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL45.5%
+141.6 pp
-96.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.0 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.3%
+15.5 pp
58.7%
Bot %73.2%
+14.9 pp
58.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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