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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

data as of 2026-02-18 08:36 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$71K$83K
Holders443+139304
Trades4.3K+2274.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.7%
−53.9 pp
87.6%
Avg ROI5.1%
+4.7 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.41
+3.41×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.01
+4.11×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
−$53.4K
$57.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.06
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.4%
−92.7 pp
15.4%
Underwater %68.7%
+58.6 pp
10.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.6%
+11.2 pp
44.5%
Bot %55.1%
+10.6 pp
44.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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