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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 00:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$53K+$44K$8.9K
Holders428−10438
Trades3.5K−2593.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+5.2 pp
47.9%
Avg ROI1.8%
−2.5 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−18.35×
×19.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−17.91×
×18.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$51.7K
+$42.9K
$8.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.1%
+113.6 pp
-94.5%
Underwater %9.5%
−85.1 pp
94.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.5%
−0.1 pp
49.6%
Bot %64.5%
+3.6 pp
60.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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