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Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 08:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$72−$2.9K$2.9K
Holders37−1956
Trades174−28202
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.0%
−59.7 pp
86.7%
Avg ROI9.6%
+9.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.54
+1.54×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.82
+17.82×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$145
$145
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.45
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−96.5 pp
1.9%
Underwater %92.5%
+92.3 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.2%
+17.2 pp
3.0%
Bot %25.5%
+22.5 pp
3.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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