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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5AM ET

data as of 2025-12-22 10:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$7.9K$18K
Holders179+8099
Trades1.8K+211.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.0%
−17.9 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI-4.7%
−4.1 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.60
+39.96×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.35
+34.72×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.8K
−$86
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.14
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−157.7 pp
60.5%
Underwater %93.8%
+93.5 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.1%
−11.1 pp
71.2%
Bot %60.7%
−10.5 pp
71.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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