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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 16:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$8.6K$8.3K
Holders237−117354
Trades1.5K−4722.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
+1.5 pp
44.6%
Avg ROI17.9%
+3.6 pp
14.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−3.83×
×4.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−3.77×
×4.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.1K
+$9.0K
$7.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.4%
+108.5 pp
-80.1%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.4 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.9%
−8.8 pp
46.7%
Bot %49.5%
−4.9 pp
54.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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