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Will Botswana win on 2025-12-30?

data as of 2025-12-30 19:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.0K−$48K$51K
Holders82−26108
Trades314−48362
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.8%
−8.8 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI3.2%
+3.9 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.04×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.89
+1.92×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-65.4%
−69.3 pp
3.9%
Underwater %98.0%
+96.2 pp
1.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %96.3%
+1.7 pp
94.6%
Bot %6.9%
−56.4 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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