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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 5?

data as of 2026-05-04 21:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$168−$12K$12K
Holders78−280
Trades468+192276
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.5%
−42.0 pp
68.4%
Avg ROI3.6%
+3.5 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.00
+9.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.36
+8.38×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$688
$690
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.0%
−91.2 pp
2.2%
Underwater %94.3%
+94.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.4%
−3.2 pp
11.6%
Bot %13.6%
+2.0 pp
11.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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