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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

data as of 2026-07-28 12:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.3K−$17K$22K
Holders345+8337
Trades2.7K+3782.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−4.0 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI3.7%
+2.0 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.66
+2.76×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.63
+2.73×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.9K
−$16.8K
$20.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.8%
−89.0 pp
13.2%
Underwater %97.0%
+93.4 pp
3.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.7%
−3.7 pp
34.4%
Bot %57.8%
−6.0 pp
63.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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