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Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?

data as of 2025-12-31 18:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.8K−$7.6K$9.3K
Holders71+1853
Trades1.1K−1891.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.4%
−23.8 pp
60.2%
Avg ROI134.5%
+133.9 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.00
+29.37×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×128.80
+128.10×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$532
−$530
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.2%
−140.4 pp
41.2%
Underwater %90.2%
+90.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.8%
+17.8 pp
0.0%
Bot %18.2%
+18.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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