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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 09:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$17K$11K
Holders393−8401
Trades3.9K−3404.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.6%
+40.6 pp
23.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−5.42×
×6.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−9.24×
×9.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.2K
+$8.1K
$10.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.03
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL52.0%
+143.4 pp
-91.4%
Underwater %0.2%
−72.9 pp
73.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.4%
+14.4 pp
60.0%
Bot %71.5%
+13.6 pp
57.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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