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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 9?

data as of 2026-05-09 17:39 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$338−$2.9K$3.2K
Holders97+691
Trades536+44492
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.8%
−37.3 pp
73.1%
Avg ROI6.2%
+4.6 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.69
+9.75×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.35
+9.42×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$224
$226
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.24
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.6%
−100.3 pp
9.7%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.7%
+4.1 pp
12.6%
Bot %22.3%
+9.6 pp
12.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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