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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?

data as of 2026-07-14 04:16 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
43¢
NO
56¢
YES
43¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4−$1$5
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
56¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.8%
−29.5 pp
72.3%
Avg ROI17.5%
+14.2 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
+0.02×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
+0.02×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$1
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-1.7%
−1.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %75.7%
+75.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %24.3%
+24.3 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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