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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-06-28 16:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$21K$32K
Holders261−127388
Trades3.4K+4522.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−6.1 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI-13.5%
−14.0 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.35
+6.57×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.28
+6.50×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.2K
−$18.8K
$30.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.7%
−119.2 pp
32.5%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.7%
−11.6 pp
43.3%
Bot %35.2%
−10.8 pp
46.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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