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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 02:41 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.7K+$2.9K$1.8K
Holders81−1495
Trades493−288781
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+6.4 pp
47.2%
Avg ROI0.1%
−3.3 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−18.09×
×18.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−21.30×
×22.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
+$984
$209
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.5%
+119.0 pp
-95.5%
Underwater %0.4%
−98.3 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.8%
−14.7 pp
61.5%
Bot %56.1%
−8.1 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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