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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$23K$45K
Holders371−10381
Trades5.1K+95.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
−3.7 pp
55.2%
Avg ROI0.6%
−4.9 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.60
+4.10×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.78
+4.19×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.3K
−$2.5K
$21.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.04
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.1%
−156.9 pp
79.7%
Underwater %89.8%
+89.3 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.7%
+12.3 pp
56.4%
Bot %69.2%
+12.5 pp
56.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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