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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 20:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.0K−$8.1K$16K
Holders327+67260
Trades2.0K+2561.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−0.6 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.1 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.61
+17.94×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.28
+16.60×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.7K
−$7.6K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.05
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.1%
−142.4 pp
48.3%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.3%
+3.6 pp
45.7%
Bot %74.6%
−4.3 pp
78.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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