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Will "Hormuz" be in the headlines this week?

data as of 2026-06-30 08:35 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 5, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
30¢
NO
65¢
YES
30¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7+$5$2
Holders4+31
Trades7+61
NO
65¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.3%
−26.4 pp
85.7%
Avg ROI5.6%
−19.9 pp
25.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.6%
−2.6 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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