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Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

data as of 2026-07-08 23:37 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
44¢
NO
55¢
YES
44¢
YesY-NNo
Position$129+$108$21
Holders8+53
Trades17−118
NO
55¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate5.6%
+5.6 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-1.3%
−1.3 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+1.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+1.00×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$79
+$112
−$33
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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