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Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-12 15:44 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$138K+$27K$111K
Holders626−179805
Trades18K+7.5K10.0K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.0%
+3.3 pp
56.7%
Avg ROI13.1%
+4.1 pp
9.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−84.69×
×85.19
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.48
−87.14×
×87.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.1K
+$8.0K
$72
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.20
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL129.8%
+228.7 pp
-98.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.4%
−15.7 pp
34.0%
Bot %18.0%
−16.5 pp
34.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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