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Will Blue Prince win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

data as of 2025-11-29 17:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$317−$8.8K$9.2K
Holders34−640
Trades315+73242
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−34.1 pp
78.6%
Avg ROI3.3%
+1.1 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.07
+2.10×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.67
+1.70×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$47
$48
Recent buyer dominance0.55
−0.21
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-62.0%
−65.2 pp
3.2%
Underwater %88.9%
+88.4 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.7%
−70.1 pp
94.8%
Bot %26.5%
−68.6 pp
95.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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