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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-17 07:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.1K−$9.2K$10K
Holders57+156
Trades329+53276
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−25.5 pp
63.5%
Avg ROI0.5%
−4.5 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.81
+28.10×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.00
+29.26×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
+$31
−$28
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.70
0.30
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−134.7 pp
38.2%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.0 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.5%
+16.0 pp
27.5%
Bot %43.5%
+31.2 pp
12.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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