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BNB Up or Down - July 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 20:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$36−$2.1K$2.1K
Holders19+811
Trades41+1724
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−15.3 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI4.2%
+6.4 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.38
+4.38×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.12
+4.18×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$35
−$57
$92
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.5%
−86.7 pp
6.2%
Underwater %75.4%
+49.2 pp
26.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.3%
−24.3 pp
36.6%
Bot %9.4%
−27.3 pp
36.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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