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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 23?

data as of 2026-02-22 18:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$89−$8.3K$8.4K
Holders37−2562
Trades292+70222
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate21.9%
−59.9 pp
81.8%
Avg ROI3.2%
+3.1 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.20
+1.20×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.15
+1.17×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31
−$906
$937
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.5%
−54.9 pp
1.3%
Underwater %67.6%
+34.1 pp
33.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.4%
+47.2 pp
24.2%
Bot %64.0%
+40.8 pp
23.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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