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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

data as of 2026-04-26 01:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$20K$44K
Holders522+87435
Trades5.4K+4025.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−13.2 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI2.5%
−5.0 pp
7.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.49
+48.94×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.14
+44.51×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.6K
−$3.2K
$26.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.02
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−165.3 pp
67.6%
Underwater %87.2%
+86.9 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.2%
+1.6 pp
66.6%
Bot %68.2%
+9.8 pp
58.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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