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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-12-18 22:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$6.3K$13K
Holders63+459
Trades1.8K−311.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−3.3 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI3.8%
+6.0 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×44.11
+43.55×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×43.56
+43.02×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$560
+$52
$508
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.07
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−180.9 pp
83.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.6%
+1.2 pp
73.4%
Bot %73.7%
+0.6 pp
73.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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