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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 01:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$15K$11K
Holders356−65421
Trades2.3K−7323.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
+2.7 pp
48.6%
Avg ROI-6.1%
−6.7 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−3.26×
×4.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−2.91×
×3.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.7K
+$15.9K
$8.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.04
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.5%
+96.1 pp
-74.6%
Underwater %10.1%
−78.4 pp
88.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.5%
+2.0 pp
32.6%
Bot %61.8%
−1.0 pp
62.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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