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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 17:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$53K+$31K$23K
Holders619+126493
Trades4.0K+3573.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.2%
+13.7 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.4 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×68.62
+68.22×
×0.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×67.99
+67.60×
×0.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$50.0K
+$29.0K
$21.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.5%
−258.7 pp
160.2%
Underwater %97.0%
+97.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.7%
−1.8 pp
35.5%
Bot %48.6%
−7.4 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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