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Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte?

data as of 2026-04-08 08:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$467$2.1K
Holders37+1918
Trades165+62103
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
+6.2 pp
45.7%
Avg ROI3.1%
−14.8 pp
17.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.52
+1.95×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.32
+1.73×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$235
+$222
$14
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.0%
−126.6 pp
69.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+95.2 pp
4.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.4%
−37.2 pp
45.7%
Bot %8.9%
−45.9 pp
54.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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