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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 20:17 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.4K−$24K$29K
Holders309−5314
Trades1.6K+1021.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−2.2 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI9.7%
+9.1 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.96
+11.12×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.60
+10.77×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.2K
−$11.0K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−114.9 pp
22.7%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.0%
−5.7 pp
47.7%
Bot %52.9%
−8.4 pp
61.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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