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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 16:08 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$36K+$30K$6.2K
Holders475+58417
Trades3.7K−1483.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
+4.5 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.3 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−17.38×
×18.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−15.89×
×16.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.1K
+$24.4K
$5.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL18.0%
+112.8 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %2.6%
−97.3 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.4%
+4.2 pp
53.1%
Bot %68.2%
+5.3 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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