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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 02:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K−$2.4K$8.2K
Holders134+9125
Trades1.2K−2771.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−1.3 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI2.3%
−0.3 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−7.00×
×7.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−6.57×
×7.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
−$1.2K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.10
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL97.1%
+182.9 pp
-85.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
−7.9 pp
53.2%
Bot %62.0%
−2.6 pp
64.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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