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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 07:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$1.8K$14K
Holders306+56250
Trades2.5K+5602.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−6.4 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI6.0%
+4.0 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.38
+40.77×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.39
+39.71×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
−$1.5K
$13.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−150.9 pp
53.3%
Underwater %93.4%
+89.2 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.7%
+2.7 pp
38.0%
Bot %46.1%
−2.1 pp
48.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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