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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on December 15?

data as of 2025-12-14 23:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$48−$1.6K$1.7K
Holders10−313
Trades33+231
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate9.8%
−43.9 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI-2.5%
−12.1 pp
9.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−1.71×
×2.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−1.28×
×2.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$2
$11
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+56.2 pp
-56.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−75.0 pp
75.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−25.0 pp
25.0%
Bot %0.0%
−25.0 pp
25.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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