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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April 13?

data as of 2026-04-12 18:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$366−$11K$11K
Holders101−80181
Trades1.1K+309822
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
−32.9 pp
75.5%
Avg ROI2.4%
+2.6 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.64
+0.64×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.55
+0.56×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$211
$216
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.14
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-34.5%
−35.3 pp
0.8%
Underwater %76.6%
+33.2 pp
43.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.6%
+14.5 pp
5.0%
Bot %19.4%
+14.4 pp
5.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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