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Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 18?

data as of 2026-07-19 00:31 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
36¢
NO
34¢
YES
36¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.5K−$5.2K$9.7K
Holders18−725
Trades275−19294
NO
34¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.0%
−8.5 pp
70.5%
Avg ROI0.8%
−1.3 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
−1.27×
×2.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−1.06×
×2.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
+$2.0K
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.3%
+57.1 pp
-52.9%
Underwater %76.5%
−23.5 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.7%
+9.0 pp
40.7%
Bot %91.6%
+9.7 pp
82.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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