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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 10:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$361$8.7K
Holders177+40137
Trades2.1K+502.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−7.7 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI7.0%
+7.5 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×52.30
+51.80×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.57
+51.07×
×0.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
−$167
$3.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.08
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−198.6 pp
100.7%
Underwater %96.2%
+94.7 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.6%
−2.7 pp
62.3%
Bot %75.3%
−3.1 pp
78.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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