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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-06-29 08:07 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.5K−$45K$49K
Holders271−35306
Trades1.6K+721.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−6.5 pp
56.5%
Avg ROI0.3%
−1.0 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.92
+4.07×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.74
+6.90×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.3K
−$11.0K
$14.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.0%
−107.3 pp
18.3%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.6%
−8.6 pp
44.2%
Bot %46.6%
−13.0 pp
59.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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