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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$22K$39K
Holders370+88282
Trades4.0K+2543.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
−4.7 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.2 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.03
+1.30×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.55
+0.75×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.6K
−$3.8K
$19.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.03
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-42.4%
−68.2 pp
25.8%
Underwater %81.5%
+73.7 pp
7.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.2%
+18.6 pp
38.6%
Bot %55.3%
+22.3 pp
32.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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